New Jersey, and to a lesser extent, Ohio and Michigan followed similar patterns. After the recession, out movement from New York declined over time to 85,000 in 2010-11 with subsequent increases in losses to over 150,000 in the last two years. When the Sun Belt in migration was peaking New York experienced its biggest migration losses-over 200,000 migrants annually from 2003 to 2006. On the other side of the coin are mostly Snow Belt states like New York, which followed the opposite of Florida’s U-turn. Similar but less extreme U-turns were taken by most of the biggest Sun Belt migration gainers which include Texas, Colorado, Arizona, South Carolina, North Carolina, Oregon, and Georgia, each of which received more migrants last year than the year before ( See Table). After that period, Florida experienced a rollercoaster migration pattern from a net in-migration of 267,000 in 2004-2005 to net migration losses from 2007-2009 inching back up to the 100,000 range between 2010-2013, and 137,000 in 2013-2014. Leading the way in this exchange was Florida which gained 202,000 net migrants last year alone-leading all states in domestic migration gains for the first time since the years 2000 to 2005. The Sun Belt states gained well over one half million migrants in 2014-2015, coming close to matching the 600,000 Snow Belt to Sun Belt migration peak in 2004-2005. First they show a noticeable expansion of Sun Belt migration gains observed in the previous year. Following the recession, signs of a resurgence were scant.īut the updated statistics through 2015 tell a different story. Specifically, previously fast-growing states like Nevada, Florida, and Arizona experienced sharp slowdowns in migration and in the case of the former two states, actual out-migration for some of these years. The sizeable migration shifts from the states in the Snow Belt ( Northeast and Midwest) region to the Sun Belt ( South and West) region over the 2000-2006 period tapered off noticeably during the mortgage meltdown and recession years. This appears to be changing, according to recently released census statistics updating national and state demographic dynamics through 2015.Ī key piece of evidence is what looks to be a renewed migration to the nation’s Sun Belt states. Until recently, demographic indicators such as domestic and international migration, as well as fertility, have shown little signs of reviving from the doldrums of the Great Recession and its aftermath, despite upturns in economic indicators.
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